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Category: Machine Learning

Probabilistic Debugging

Adrian Colyer summarizes a fascinating academic paper:

This program has a bug. When given an already encoded input, it encodes it again (replacing % with ‘%25’). For example, the input https://example.com/t%20c?x=1 results in the output https://example.com/t%2520c?x=1, whereas in fact the output should be the same as the input in this case.

Let’s put our probabilistic thinking caps on and try and to debug the program. We ‘know’ that the url printed on line 19 is wrong, so we can assign low probability (0.05) to this value being correct. Likewise we ‘know’ that the input url on line 1 is correct, so we can assign high probability (0.95). (In probabilistic inference, it is standard not to use 0.0 or 1.0, but values close to them instead). Initially we’ll set the probability of every other program variable being set to 0.5, since we don’t know any better yet. If we can find a point in the program where the inputs are correct with relatively high probability, and the outputs are incorrect with relatively high probability, then that’s an interesting place!

Since url on line 19 has a low probability of being correct, this suggests that url on line 18, and purl_str at line 12 are also likely to be faulty. PI Debugger actually assigns these probabilities of being correct 0.0441 and 0.0832 respectively. Line 18 is a simple assignment statement, so if the chances of a bug here are fairly low. Now we trace the data flow. If purl_str at line 12 is likely to be faulty then s at line 16 is also likely to be faulty (probability 0.1176).

I’m interested to see someone create a practical implementation someday.

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Databricks MLflow

Matai Zaharia announces a new Databricks offering:

MLflow is inspired by existing ML platforms, but it is designed to be open in two senses:

  1. Open interface: MLflow is designed to work with any ML library, algorithm, deployment tool or language. It’s built around REST APIs and simple data formats (e.g., a model can be viewed as a lambda function) that can be used from a variety of tools, instead of only providing a small set of built-in functionality. This also makes it easy to add MLflow to your existing ML code so you can benefit from it immediately, and to share code using any ML library that others in your organization can run.
  2. Open source: We’re releasing MLflow as an open source project that users and library developers can extend. In addition, MLflow’s open format makes it very easy to share workflow steps and models across organizations if you wish to open source your code.

Mlflow is still currently in alpha, but we believe that it already offers a useful framework to work with ML code, and we would love to hear your feedback. In this post, we’ll introduce MLflow in detail and explain its components.

Even in alpha, it looks nice.

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Permissions Error Executing R Scripts

Niels Berglund walks through a permissions error on a new installation of SQL Server 2017 CU 7 with Machine Learning Services:

Cool, all is “A-OK”! A couple of days go by, and I see that there is a Cumulative Update (CU) for SQL Server 2017 – CU7. I install it and does not think much about it. I mean: “what can go wrong, how hard can it be?”. A couple of days later and I am busy writing the follow-up post to sp_execute_external_script and SQL Compute Context – I when I try to execute sp_execute_external_script, and it falls over!

Niels has a couple false starts that he walks us through, but then lands on a solid answer.

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Combining Keras With Apache MXNet

Lai Wei, et al, show how to build a neural network in Keras 2 using MXNet as the engine:

Distributed training with Keras 2 and MXNet

This article shows how to install Keras-MXNet and demonstrates how to train a CNN and an RNN. If you tried distributed training with other deep learning engines before, you know that it can be tedious and difficult. Let us show you what it’s like now, with Keras-MXNet.

Installation is only a few steps

  1. Deploy an AWS Deep Learning AMI

  2. Install Keras-MXNet

  3. Configure Keras-MXNet

The Deep Learning AMI is already set up for trial, so it should be easy to follow along.

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Tuning xgboost Models In R

Gabriel Vasconcelos has a new series on tuning xgboost models:

My favourite Boosting package is the xgboost, which will be used in all examples below. Before going to the data let’s talk about some of the parameters I believe to be the most important. These parameters mostly are used to control how much the model may fit to the data. We would like to have a fit that captures the structure of the data but only the real structure. In other words, we do not want the model to fit noise because this will be translated in a poor out-of-sample performance.

  • eta: Learning (or shrinkage) parameter. It controls how much information from a new tree will be used in the Boosting. This parameter must be bigger than 0 and limited to 1. If it is close to zero we will use only a small piece of information from each new tree. If we set eta to 1 we will use all information from the new tree. Big values of eta result in a faster convergence and more over-fitting problems. Small values may need to many trees to converge.

  • colsample_bylevel: Just like Random Forests, some times it is good to look only at a few variables to grow each new node in a tree. If we look at all variables the algorithm needs less trees to converge, but looking at, for example, 2/3 of the variables may result in models more robust to over-fitting. There is a similar parameter called colsample_bytree that re-sample the variables in each new tree instead of each new node.

Read the whole thing.  H/T R-bloggers

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Building A Neural Network With TensorFlow

Julien Heiduk gives us an example of building a neural network with TensorFlow:

To use Tensorflow we need to transform our data (features) in a special format. As a reminder, we have just the continuous features. So the first function used is: tf.contrib.layers.real_valued_column. The others cells allowed to us to create a train set and test set with our training dataset. The sampling is not the most relevant but it is not the goal of this article. So be careful! The sample 67-33 is not the rule!

It’s probably an indicator that I’m a casual, but I prefer to use Keras as an abstraction layer rather than working directly with TensorFlow.

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Machine Learning From Kafka

Kai Waehner has a post covering a recent talk he did on using Kafka as a data source for neural networks:

This talk shows how to build Machine Learning models at extreme scale and how to productionize the built models in mission-critical real time applications by leveraging open source components in the public cloud. The session discusses the relation between TensorFlow and the Apache Kafka ecosystem – and why this is a great fit for machine learning at extreme scale.

The Machine Learning architecture includes: Kafka Connect for continuous high volume data ingestion into the public cloud, TensorFlow leveraging Deep Learning algorithms to build an analytic model on powerful GPUs, Kafka Streams for model deployment and inference in real time, and KSQL for real time analytics of predictions, alerts and model accuracy.

Sensor analytics for predictive alerting in real time is used as real world example from Internet of Things scenarios. A live demo shows the out-of-the-box integration and dynamic scalability of these components on Google Cloud.

Check out the slide deck as well for more details.

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Open Source ML With Azure

David Smith shares his Build conference slides:

The topic for my talk at the Microsoft Build conference yesterday was “Migrating Existing Open Source Machine Learning to Azure”. The idea behind the talk was to show how you can take the open-source tools and workflows you already use for machine learning and data science, and easily transition them to the Azure cloud to take advantage of its capacity and scale. The theme for the talk was “no surprises”, and other than the Azure-specific elements I tried to stick to standard OSS tools rather than Microsoft-specific things, to make the process as familiar as possible.

Click through for the slides and additional resources.

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Toward Interpretable Machine Learning

Cristoph Molnar shows off a couple of R packages which help interpret ML models:

Machine learning models repeatedly outperform interpretable, parametric models like the linear regression model. The gains in performance have a price: The models operate as black boxes which are not interpretable.

Fortunately, there are many methods that can make machine learning models interpretable. The R package imlprovides tools for analysing any black box machine learning model:

  • Feature importance: Which were the most important features?
  • Feature effects: How does a feature influence the prediction? (Partial dependence plots and individual conditional expectation curves)
  • Explanations for single predictions: How did the feature values of a single data point affect its prediction? (LIME and Shapley value)
  • Surrogate trees: Can we approximate the underlying black box model with a short decision tree?
  • The iml package works for any classification and regression machine learning model: random forests, linear models, neural networks, xgboost, etc.

This is a must-read if you’re getting into model-building. H/T R-Bloggers

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Natural Language Generation With Markov Chains

Abdul Majed Raja shows off Markovify, a Python package which builds sentences using Markov chains:

Markov chains, named after Andrey Markov, are mathematical systems that hop from one “state” (a situation or set of values) to another. For example, if you made a Markov chain model of a baby’s behavior, you might include “playing,” “eating”, “sleeping,” and “crying” as states, which together with other behaviors could form a ‘state space’: a list of all possible states. In addition, on top of the state space, a Markov chain tells you the probability of hopping, or “transitioning,” from one state to any other state — -e.g., the chance that a baby currently playing will fall asleep in the next five minutes without crying first. Read more about how Markov Chain works in this interactive article by Victor Powell.

Click through for a fun example of headline generation.

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