Author: Kevin Feasel

Ivan Palomares Carrascosa takes us through a simple natural language processing problem and solution:

It’s no secret that decision tree-based models excel at a wide range of classification and regression tasks, often based on structured, tabular data. However, when combined with the right tools, decision trees also become powerful predictive tools for unstructured data, such as text or images, and even time series data.

This article demonstrates how to build decision trees for text data. Specifically, we will incorporate text representation techniques like TF-IDF and embeddings in decision trees trained for spam email classification, evaluating their performance and comparing the results with another text classification model — all with the aid of Python’s Scikit-learn library.

Read on for the demos and to see how three different approaches work.

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Ivan Palomares Carrascosa takes a look at one of my favorite plots in XGBoost:

One of the most widespread machine learning techniques is XGBoost (Extreme Gradient Boosting). An XGBoost model — or an ensemble that combines multiple models into a single predictive task, to be more precise — builds several decision trees and sequentially combines them, so that the overall prediction is progressively improved by correcting the errors made by previous trees in the pipeline.

Just like standalone decision trees, XGBoost can accommodate both regression and classification tasks. While the combination of many trees into a single composite model may obscure its interpretability at first, there are still mechanisms to help you interpret an XGBoost model. In other words, you can understand why predictions are made and how input features contributed to them.

This article takes a practical dive into XGBoost model interpretability, with a particular focus on feature importance.

Read on to learn more about how feature importance works, as well as the three different views of the data you can get.

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John Mount continues a series on risk optimization:

I want to discuss how fragile optimization solutions to real world problems can be. And how to solve that.

Small changes in modeling strategy, assumptions, data, estimates, constraints, or objective can lead to unstable and degenerate solutions. To warm up let’s discuss one of the most famous optimization examples: Stigler’s minimal subsistence diet problem.

There are some neat stories in the post as you walk through problems of linear programming.

Also, Nina Zumel has a post on overestimation bias:

Revenue optimization projects can be particularly valuable and exciting. They involve:

• Estimating demand as a function of offered features, price, and match to market.
• Picking a set of offerings and prices optimizing the above inferred demand.

The great opportunity of these projects is that one can derive value from improving the inference of the demand estimate function, improving the optimization, and even improving the synergy between these two steps.

However, there is a common situation that can lose client trust and sink revenue optimization projects.

Read on for that article.

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