Forecasting Field Goal Percentages With Prophet

Marlon Ribunal uses the Prophet library in R to forecast critical information:

I’ve been looking for an easy way to get to learning predictive analysis and forecasting. Prophet provides that path. Prophet is released by Facebook’s Core Data Science Team.
“Prophet is a procedure for forecasting time series data based on an additive model where non-linear trends are fit with yearly, weekly, and daily seasonality, plus holiday effects. It works best with time series that have strong seasonal effects and several seasons of historical data. Prophet is robust to missing data and shifts in the trend, and typically handles outliers well.”
Just to dip my toes into the waters, I tried Prophet’s Quick Start Guide in R.
Let’s forecast the Field Goal Percentage (FG%) of Kyle Kuzma of the Los Angeles Lakers for the next 6 Months.

It’d be critical and important if it were hockey data. Or football data or baseball data or maybe even cricket data (but I don’t understand cricket data and why is that guy still running didn’t he get thrown out or something I don’t get it?).

As far as Prophet goes, it’s a useful library and works well if you’re looking at seasonal time series data.

Related Posts

Inline Operators In R With wrapr

John Mount shows how to use inline operators in R with the wrapr package: The above code is assuming you have the wrapr package attached via already having run library('wrapr'). Notice we picked R-related operator names. We stayed away from overloading the + operator, as the arithmetic operators are somewhat special in how they dispatch in R. The goal wasn’t […]

Read More

Feature And Text Classification Using Naive Bayes In R

I wrap up my series on the Naive Bayes class of algorithms, finally writing some code along the way: Now we’re going to look at movie reviews and predict whether a movie review is a positive or a negative review based on its words. If you want to play along at home, grab the data set, […]

Read More

Categories

December 2018
MTWTFSS
« Nov Jan »
 12
3456789
10111213141516
17181920212223
24252627282930
31